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Foreign-Exchange Earnings in the Shipping SectorAnders Ejstrup and Caroline Bindslev, Statistics
INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARYSea freight has been of increasing significance to Denmark's exports and imports in recent years. It is now the second-largest export sector after manufacturing industry. Advantageous tax rules combined with favourable cyclical developments, especially the expansion of world trade, paved the way for growth in the sea freight sector in the years prior to the financial crisis. Compared with e.g. manufacturing industry, shipping is less labour-intensive, and wage competitiveness therefore has less impact on sea freight exports than on e.g. manufactured exports1. This article focuses on the shipping sector's foreign-exchange earnings, i.e. revenue and expenditure denominated in foreign exchange. The figures are not directly reflected in the Danish balance of payments. Sea freight revenue and expenditure are distributed on several items in the balance of payments. This article provides a comprehensive overview. Danish shipping companies exported sea freight services in excess of kr. 190 billion in 2008. The shipping sector's foreign-exchange earnings for Denmark are calculated by deducting shipping expenditure incurred abroad. In 2008 the shipping companies earned kr. 11 billion in foreign exchange. The shipping companies' foreign-exchange earnings for Denmark are estimated at kr. 4 billion in 2009. The global economic slowdown has also affected the shipping sector, as fewer goods and less fuel were transported around the world in 2009. The shipping companies' foreign-exchange expenditure consists mainly of chartering of ships with or without crews, and fuel (bunkering), amounting to kr. 122 billion and kr. 38 billion, respectively, in 2008. Wages, provisioning and repairs are minor foreign-exchange expenditure items for the shipping companies.
balance-of-payments statistics and sea freight2In general terms, the current-account balance is an expression of the difference between the value of exports and imports of goods and services, wages and investment income and net current transfers to abroad3. The development in the Danish current-account surplus from 1997 onwards shows an increasing contribution from the services item, cf. Chart 1. A considerable reduction can be seen in the latter half of 2009, however.
The growing contribution from services up to 2008 is primarily attributable to Denmark's net exports, i.e. exports minus imports, of sea freight, cf. Chart 2.
Net current revenue from sea freight peaked in 2008 with net income for Denmark of kr. 58 billion. The growth in net revenue is driven by increased exports, cf. Chart 3. The shift in level for imports and exports in 1999 and 2005 can be explained by A.P. Møller Mærsk's acquisition of Sealand, a US container division, in 1999 and the Dutch/British container shipping company P&O Nedlloyd in 2005. Danish exports of sea freight increased from around kr. 50 billion in 1997 to more than kr. 190 billion in 2008, making sea freight Denmark's second-largest export sector, cf. Chart 4. From 2005, the Danish shipping sector's exports of "Sea freight" is exceeded only by "Manufactured goods".
The economic slowdown has also affected the shipping sector. Generally falling demand for goods transport, excess capacity and the weaker dollar contributed to the decline in Danish exports of sea freight in 2009. Nevertheless, the Danish shipping sector's exports of sea freight amounted to several hundred billions in 2009 or 18 per cent of total Danish exports of goods and services. Denmark has several large shipping companies with different competences, including Maersk Line, the world's largest container shipping company. Danish container freight accounts for approximately 60 per cent of the total Danish merchant fleet capacity. Denmark's share of the global merchant fleet was 1.3 per cent in 2009, cf. Box 1.
Denmark's sea freight imports are also increasing. This should be viewed in the light of the fact that several Danish shipping companies are increasingly chartering (leasing) foreign ships with or without crews. When Danish shipping companies charter ships abroad for shipping operations, this appears in the statistics as Danish imports of sea freight. Shipping companies chartering ships abroad contribute to inflating both imports and exports of sea freight. Sea freight is viewed in an import and export perspective above. When calculating the shipping companies' foreign-exchange earnings, it is not enough to consider sea freight exports, however. Relevant shipping expenditure incurred abroad must be deducted, and other income abroad, e.g. from foreign subsidiaries, must be included.
Foreign-Exchange Earnings in the Shipping Sector4Foreign-exchange earnings in the shipping sector are calculated by compiling the shipping companies' foreign-exchange revenue and expenditure. The shipping companies' foreign-exchange revenue is achieved mainly by selling sea freight services to foreign companies, while a minor share is attributable to investment income and the sale of ships. Foreign-exchange expenditure, on the other hand, is distributed on many different items, cf. Box 2.
A significant sea freight expenditure item is chartering of foreign ships with or without crews by Danish shipping companies5. The costs incurred increased from kr. 78 billion in 2005 to kr. 122 billion in 2008. Expenditure in 2009 is estimated at kr. 100 billion. Another considerable expenditure item is fuel (bunkering) for ships in foreign ports, which is included in foreign-trade statistics as imports of goods. Fuel expenditure doubled in the period 2005-08, from kr. 15 billion to kr. 38 billion. This should be viewed in the light of A.P. Møller Mærsk's acquisition of P&O Nedlloyd in 2005 and the increase in the price of oil from around 42 dollars per barrel in January 2005 to 145 dollars in July 2008 when oil prices peaked. The remaining expenditure, e.g. for provisioning and repairs of ships in foreign ports, was relatively stable in the period under review, averaging approximately kr. 2 billion. All in all, Danish shipping companies in 2008 earned around kr. 11 billion in foreign exchange, adjusted for shipping operation expenditure, cf. Chart 6. Based on preliminary figures, the shipping companies' foreign-exchange earnings in 2009 are estimated at kr. 4 billion.
Overall, the shipping companies' foreign-exchange earnings declined by more than half in the period 2005-08, from kr. 25 billion in 2005 to kr. 11 billion in 2008. This reflects the increase in the shipping companies' chartering expenditure in step with export growth, as well as rising bunkering expenditure due to higher oil prices. The sea freight sector is generally characterised by fluctuating revenue and expenditure, as freight rates, exchange rates and oil prices may vary substantially from year to year.
LiteratureBeier, Niels C. and Erik Haller Pedersen (2005), Sea Freight and the Danish Economy, Danmarks Nationalbank, Monetary Review, 4th Quarter. Danish Shipowners' Association (2009a), Danish Shipping, April. Danish Shipowners' Association (2009b), Shipping Figures, November (in Danish only). Statistics Denmark (2007), Foreign trade – Goods and Services, November (in Danish only). Statistics Denmark (2008), Foreign Trade in Goods and Services – Sources and Methods, November (in Danish only). Statistics Denmark (2009), 10-year Statistical Overview, August (in Danish only). Kristensen, Kamilla, Johanne Dinesen Riishøj and Jonas Sørensen (2010), Manufactured Exports and Wage Competitiveness, Danmarks Nationalbank, Monetary Review, 1st Quarter. Pedersen, Erik Haller (2003), The Balance of Payments – from Sustained Deficit to Sound Surplus, Danmarks Nationalbank, Monetary Review, 2nd Quarter. Danish Maritime Authority (2009), Facts about Shipping, November (in Danish only). Sørensen, Rewal Schmidt (1999), Method Manual – Foreign Trade Statistics, Statistics Denmark, September (in Danish only). Sørensen, Rewal Schmidt (2001), Denmark's Foreign Economy, Handelshøjskolens Forlag, 6th edition (in Danish only).
[1] Kristensen, Riishøj and Sørensen (2010). [2] This article equates sea freight with shipping. [3] See Pedersen (2003) for further details. [4]Access to sector data relating to sea freight activities abroad is essential when compiling foreign-exchange earnings in the shipping sector. Such data has been supplied by Statistics Denmark. [5] Chartering of foreign ships with or without crews by Danish shipping companies comprises imports of sea freight, excluding "Supporting and auxiliary transport services" and operational leasing. The former relates to chartering of foreign ships with crews (time charter) and several shipping companies' joint chartering of ships (pools), while the latter relates to chartering of ships without crews and other unmanned equipment.
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