Working Papers present research work by both Danmarks Nationalbank’s employees and our partners. Working Papers are primarily targeted at professionals and people with an interest in central banking research as well as economics and finance in a broader sense.
Working Paper: A Leading Indicator of House-Price Bubbles
The emergence of a house-price bubble can have sizeable implications for macroeconomic as well as financial stability. This paper investigates the dynamics of house prices in Denmark in order to identify emerging bubbles in due time. The empirical results identify developments in line with a price bubble from mid-2005 in Denmark. When applied to flats in Copenhagen, real price developments in 2015-16 indicate speculative behaviour but it cannot be ruled out that developments are driven by fundamental economic factors.