Principal Bank Modeling Expert
Financial Stability
Fields of Interest: Macroeconomics, Forecasting, Housing Market, Financial Stability
tsh@nationalbanken.dk

Professional Experience
Principal Bank Modeling Expert, Financial Stability, Danmarks Nationalbank, 2018-
Senior Economist, Macroeconomic Analysis Division, Danmarks Nationalbank, 2009-2018
Senior Economist, Economic Models Division, Statistics Denmark, 2007-2009
Head of Section, Economic Models, Statistics Denmark, 2006-2007

Education
M.Sc., Economics, University of Copenhagen, 2006

Selected Danmarks Nationalbank Publications
'Prosperity growth facing demographic headwinds', with Ellermann-Aarslev, Christian; Perdersen, Erik Haller, Danmarks Nationalbank Analysis, no. 1, (2018)

'Regional aspects of the housing market', with Hviid, Simon Juul; Kramp, Paul Lassenius; Pedersen, Erik Haller, Danmarks Nationalbank Monetary Review 4th Quarter, (2016)

'House price bubbles and the advantages of stabilising housing taxation', with Klein, Asbjørn; Hviid, Simon Juul; Kramp, Paul Lassenius; Pedersen, Erik Haller, Danmarks Nationalbank Monetary Review, 3rd quarter, (2016)

'Risks associated with the current upswing in the Danish economy', with Pedersen, Erik Haller; Jensen, Rasmus Mose, Danmarks Nationalbank Monetary Review, 2nd quarter, (2015)

'A multi-speed housing market', with Dam, Niels Arne; Rasmussen, Morten Hedegaard, Danmarks Nationalbank, Monetary Review 3rd quarter, (2014)

'Consumption, Income and Wealth', with Bang-Andersen, Jens; Kramp, Paul Lassenius; Ristorp Thomsen, Casper, Danmarks Nationalbank Monetary Review, 2nd quarter, (2013) Part 1 and Part 2

'The Housing Bubble that Burst: Can House Prices Be Explained? And Can Their Fluctuations be Dampened?', with Dam, Niels Arne; Pedersen, Erik Haller; Sørensen, Peter Birch; Thamsborg, Susanne Hougaard, Danmarks Nationalbank Monetary Review, 1st quarter, (2011) Part 1 and Part 2

'Can House-Price Fluctuations be Dampened? – Part 2', with Dam, Niels Arne; Sørensen, Peter Birch, Danmarks Nationalbank Monetary Review, 1st quarter, (2011)